About Bill Duncan
Transformative Technology Tracker
The Transformative Technology Tracker is a monthly briefing that follows the real-world progress of ten technologies shaping the global economy, national security, and everyday life between now and 2040.
Rather than chasing headlines or short-term hype cycles, this publication focuses on signal over noise: what has materially changed, what has not, how different technologies enable or constrain one another, and where genuine inflection points may be emerging over time.
Each issue synthesizes developments across research, industry, policy, and deployment to provide a clear, disciplined view of long-cycle technological change.
Why this tracker exists
We are entering a period in which multiple foundational technologies—artificial intelligence, advanced computing, energy systems, materials science, biotechnology, and others—are advancing simultaneously and interactively.
Understanding any one of them in isolation is no longer sufficient. The real impact comes from how they compound, collide, and unlock one another.